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Utah House map has no toss-up races for the first time

Utah House map has no toss-up races for the first time

Utah Political Watch has updated its 2026 Utah House race ratings after reviewing the latest campaign finance disclosures. Five districts moved as a result, and for the first time since we launched these ratings, the House map has no true toss-up race left.

Where the map stands now

All 75 House districts on the 2026 ballot now lean toward one party or the other, even if only slightly.

Fundraising is usually the clearest early signal of which campaigns are actually viable. When we checked the latest filings against voter registration and three cycles of election results, several races sitting in competitive territory turned out to have financial gaps wide enough to settle the question.

Not every race lined up neatly, though. Two districts showed a real contradiction between the money and historical data, which is worth keeping an eye on. Those two races didn't change rating this cycle, but we're flagging them, and explaining exactly why, for anyone following the House map closely.

Here's what changed and why.