Registered Republicans powered the Prop. 4 repeal petition across the line. Irony alert: Democrats and independents may be the ones who keep it off the 2026 ballot. Prop. 4 is the anti-gerrymandering law passed by voters in 2018.
As of Thursday morning, Utahns for Representative Government (UFRG), the group behind the repeal effort, had 165,703 verified signatures statewide and had cleared the threshold in 26 state Senate districts—enough to qualify for November’s ballot. UFRG is headed by Utah Republican Party leaders.
Utah Political Watch matched about 85% of petition signers to the statewide voter file using voter registration information provided by L2, a political data warehousing firm. Of those matched signers, nearly 71% were Republicans, about 18% were unaffiliated, and just over 6% were Democrats.
Opponents of the repeal campaign have been urging those who signed the petition to remove their signatures.
So far, the removal push has been largely indiscriminate, hitting Republicans, Democrats and non-partisan voters alike. But the data shows a soft spot. In several qualified districts, the remaining pool of Democratic and unaffiliated signers alone is big enough to erase the current cushion and knock the repeal off the ballot—no Republican signatures required.
In 12 of the 26 Senate districts that have qualified, the combined remaining Democratic and unaffiliated signers exceed the current surplus. If the removal effort targets those, one or more districts could slip below the threshold.
- SD12 is 522 signatures over the line; the remaining Democratic and unaffiliated pool is 1,186.
- SD15 has a surplus of 539 signatures. There are 1,100+ Democratic and unaffiliated signatures left.
- SD10 is 626 signatures over. More than 1,200 Democratic and unaffiliated signatures remain.
(Note: It’s unknown how many of these signatures fall outside the statutory removal window, which would shrink the target pool.)
SD15 saw 119 signatures removed from its total according to Thursday’s updated numbers. SD10 dropped by 77 signatures and SD12 fell by 55.
As of Thursday’s update, SD 15 lost 119 signatures, SD 10 dropped 77, and SD 12 fell by 55.
