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# Prop. 4 repeal update: Statewide math barely works; district requirements don't
- URL: https://utahpolitics.news/prop-4-repeal-update-statewide-math-barely-works-district-requirements-dont/
- Published: 2026-01-21T20:22:34.000Z
- Updated: 2026-01-26T15:24:09.000Z
- Author: Bryan Schott
- Tags: Legislature, Redistricting, Republican Party

At the current pace, the Republican-backed bid to repeal Utah’s Prop 4—the 2018 anti-gerrymandering measure—won’t make the November ballot. The campaign logged 2,354 new verified signatures in the latest update.

### Key statistics

- **2,354** verified signatures added yesterday.
- **Total verified**: 50,682 (36% of the statewide goal).
- **To stay on track**: 2,815 verified signatures per working day through March 7.

****Scenario 1**—recent pace (≈1,300/day): short by 48,466 statewide.

****Scenario 2**—Overall average (1,877/day): short by 29,998.

****Scenario 3**—best five-day clip (2,857/day): clears the statewide bar by 1,352.

Organizers must submit at least 140,748 signatures from registered voters statewide by Feb. 14; county clerks have until March 7 to verify.

### Districts still lagging

Even if they hit the statewide total, they still won’t qualify unless they also reach 8% of registered voters in 26 of Utah’s 29 state Senate districts (a separate legal threshold). So far, they haven’t met the 8% bar in a single district.

- **District 27**: 96.75% of goal (+461 yesterday); needs 185 more.
- **District 25**: 69.18%; needs 1,519.
- **District 26**: 65.18%; needs 1,803.
- **District 29**: 60.03%; needs 2,151.
- **District 28**: 55.58%; needs 2,415.
- Twenty districts sit at 45% or below; seven are under 20%.
- Four districts added fewer than 15 signatures yesterday.

Clearing 8% in 26 districts would take a massive surge between now and the March 7 verification cutoff. Even at their best clip (2,857/day) sustained through March 7, they’d likely hit the district threshold in only about 14 districts—still 12 short.

In other words, the statewide math barely works right now; the district math doesn’t.