Utah Political Watch called Utah’s 2026 election results. Every rating change we made this fall moved toward Democrats, and the results followed. Across both chambers, the party we rated as favored won or leads in 73 of the 82 contested races where we picked a favorite, an 89% hit rate.
Every seat we rated Safe Republican stayed Republican. Every seat we rated as favoring Democrats went to Democrats, without exception. Of the eight Republican-held seats we flagged this fall as most likely to fall in a wave, Democrats won seven and lead in the eighth, including the seat held by the Senate majority leader.